Tesla Has No Lead

Discussion in 'Tesla' started by bwilson4web, Nov 30, 2018.

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  1. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web Well-Known Member Subscriber

    Warning, this article has an excessive amount of snark. I tried to quote the least polemic parts.

    Source: https://www.gurufocus.com/news/779304/tesla-has-no-lead-in-autonomous-vehicles

    Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) loves to talk about autonomous driving. As we discussed in a recent research note, CEO Elon Musk has been beating the drum about the imminent arrival of full self-driving, or FSD, capabilities for years.

    . . . Tesla as the undisputed leader of autonomous driving, this is simply not the case. Indeed, all evidence points to Waymo, a subsidiary of Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG), and General Motors (NYSE:GM) as the clear leaders in the field. In fact, given Tesla’s dearth of patents, lack of strong strategic partners and general absence of booked testing miles, one might well conclude that the company is not even in contention.

    . . . the use of neural nets to master image recognition and capture data in a way other players in autonomy cannot. There is one problem with this reasoning, however, and that is that neural nets are simply not up to the task, as Josh Sacks . . .

    . . . need their [Tesla rjw] system to be at least 100x more accurate.

    This is why every other company pursuing AVs is using lidar. Lidar is extremely reliable and accurate. If your lidar sensor says there's nothing in your path, then there's nothing in your path, especially when you have two independent sensors looking in the direction of travel. . . .

    There usually is an inverse relationship between snark and accuracy. For example, this article wastes the first 2/3s throwing shade on the Tesla efforts and then the hook, 'lidar' advocacy. Meanwhile, every day 10s of thousands of Tesla owner enable their autopilot. Perfect, not yet, but better than not having it. There is a proof of the author's humbug:

    He does not call for banning Tesla AutoPilot as a public health hazard.

    For those interested in a technical summary of lidar: https://arstechnica.com/cars/2018/01/driving-around-without-a-driver-lidar-technology-explained/

    Bob Wilson
     
    Last edited: Nov 30, 2018
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  3. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web Well-Known Member Subscriber

    Irony plays a hand:


    Bob Wilson
     

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